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La Liga Matchday 6 Odds and Predictions

Midweek matches in La Liga mean the season is heating up.

Villarreal CF v Atalanta: Group F - UEFA Champions League Photo by Manuel Queimadelos/Quality Sport Images/Getty Images

Well, we know for a fact that Villarreal is going to get 38 points out of an undefeated season in 2021/2022, but how will the rest of the league shake out? We had a rough week last week on the prediction model, but hopefully we’ll bounce back this time out.

In a week where a lot of upsets happened in La Liga, our prediction model struggled to cope. Thus, we ended up only getting 3/10 correct.

Once again, Villarreal are not helping Charlie and Mitchel out. We turned a 40% chance to win into yet another draw. My personal favorite result of the year so far, though, is Barcelona failing to win a match that they had over an 80% chance to take in both the betting odds and our prediction model.

Matchday 6

@analyticsLaLiga; @msocanalytics

Despite the fact that almost our entire data set now is predicated on the mess that this current season has been, we are still predicted to beat Elche. We need three points there very, very badly. Levante vs Celta is probably as close a prediction as I’ve seen all year, and the side from Vigo need a win desperately. In fact, desperately is probably an overused term that doesn’t convey how much of a mess they are in. Charlie and Mitchel’s model predicts about a 11% less of a chance for a Madrid win against Mallorca than the betters do, and I think their model more accurately reflects the well organized, solid football that the newly promoted side has put forward.

Thoughts?