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La Liga Matchday 12 Odds and Predictions

La Liga is as unpredictable as ever.

Real Madrid v Celta de Vigo - La Liga Santander Photo by David S. Bustamante/Soccrates/Getty Images

It was a weird midweek matchday in La Liga. We only got 3/10 predictions right, but then again the betting odds only got three matches correct also. We are in the most competitive league in recent memory, and frankly just about anything can happen, especially when there is a leaguewide emphasis on giving the correct amount of extra time.

Nevertheless, the prediction model put the biggest feather in its cap to date by boldly predicting Rayo over Barcelona, and getting that upset correct. I think that prediction just goes to show that if you take the crests and brand names out of it, it really wasn’t an upset at all. Rayo are just the better outfit at the moment.

Matchday 12


Valencia have the smallest wage budget, are horribly, terribly run, and the algorithm has them as favorites against us. The worst part? I can’t even be mad. We are fully languishing at the moment, and I don’t know what it will take to pull us out of this malaise.

What I find interesting about this week is that in fully half the matches, our prediction model contradicts the betting odds. I will be very curious to see how we perform against them this week. Given the fact that they are predicting a Getafe win, I like our chances. I know that Geta have to win at some point this season, but I also think Espanyol is comfortably better than them.

I would love for us to go 9/10 this week and by some shocking miracle Villarreal actually win.