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Around SBN: The Eternal Unpredictability of the 2011-12 Boston Celtics

Preview: Villarreal - Sporting

Following Villarreal's last-gasp (seriously-- in 20 seconds, how many more breaths could you take?) victory over Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League, the club has to come back to earth in La Liga, a competition in which it simply has been reeling as of late. No matter how you try to spin it-- injuries, Garrido conserving his players for the Europa League, a low point in the season-- we have been playing fiercely horrible over the last month and a half. Things are bad. Very, very bad.

It might be easy to look at the Spanish Primera table and say that Villarreal is doing fine: 4 points off the pace of Valencia for third, and a comfortable 9 points ahead of Athletic Bilbao in fifth. Maybe our drop in form has not hurt us too badly? But take a look with your imagination: think about how many points Villarreal should have and what that table should look like.

Going back to February 5th, consider the additional points we should have taken, at a minimum: Levante (3); Deportivo (3); Málaga (2); Racing (2); Atlético (1). Just looking at those five matches, that is 11(!) points that we absolutely should have picked up. No excuses. Add in those 11 points, and where do we stand? A whopping 7 points above Valencia, and an untouchable 20 points over 5th-place Athletic Bilbao. Imagine Garrido's freedom at that point: to expend all of the club's energies on the Europa League, all the while coasting to a place in next year's Champions League and enjoying a club that is seriously experienced in winning.

Star-divide

Okay, let's drop the imaginary vacation and return to reality: tomorrow is going to be a difficult match to scrape by. Sporting de Gijón is a tough team, despite their low-table showing, and will cause all sorts of trouble for Villarreal. Back in Gijón in October, the Submarine was unsteady throughout and went into the 90th minute down 1-0. It was only a gift from Old Yeller, Sebastián Eguren, in the 90th minute, climbing onto Marchena's back in the box on a free kick, that gave Villarreal a penalty and allowed the club to scrape a point from the match.

Sporting enters the fray coasting along a smooth run of form over their last few matchdays. In the last five matches, Gijón has managed to draw with Barcelona, Zaragoza, and away to Valencia, along with knocking off Getafe. Three impressive results, plus the ho-hum draw against Zaragoza, for a club sitting in 16th place. I guarantee that is better than Villarreal would have done over the same stretch.

The clubs have only met twice at El Madrigal in the Primera, and to date Villarreal has done well at home. In April 2010, Villarreal sported a squad of: Diego López; Javi Venta, Gonzalo, Godín, Capdevila; Bruno, Senna, Cani (Ibagaza); Nilmar (Cazorla), Rossi, Llorente (Pirès); and picked up a 1-0 victory with a 15th-minute goal by Godín. Needless to say, as with a number of those contributing players from last term, we won't be able to count on him this time around.

Prior to that, it was a 2-1 home victory for Villarreal, with Giuseppe Rossi's 2nd-minute goal (the second goal of the match, Gijón having scored in the first minute) and Capdevila's tally just before halftime sealing the win.

While winning a third consecutive home match against Sporting will not be easy, both the players and coaching staff have their eyes on the prize. In order to focus on Thursday's night Europa League encounter without stretching the team's eyes too much to next Sunday's all-important match in Bilbao, the club must pick up 3 points on Sunday.

Villarreal has not yet announced its squad as of this writing, so we can only speculate whether the recent squad move-abouts of Marcos Gullón, Matilla, and Joan Oriol will continue. The team just saw its 4 primary central defenders-- Marchena, Gonzalo, Catalá, and Musacchio-- all go 90 minutes, while Cani (full) and Cazorla (partial) got some good rest. Thus, don't expect a central defender in the midfield this time around. The club will be happy to see Capdevila back-- after serving his suspension-- to try and give some stability to a shaky defensive back line.

I expect to see a defensively-minded Gijón squad, ready to pack the box and withstand pressure. Villarreal will need a focused attack that connects in the final third to break them down. My lineup:

Diego López
Mario - Gonzalo - Musacchio - Capdevila
Cazorla - Bruno - Cani/Borja
Nilmar - Ruben - Rossi

I am thinking that a 4-3-3 is the best way to get our offense going again in La Liga against Sporting's stingy defense. I would like to see Borja get a rest, with Cani starting for him, but I expect it will be Borja. ENDAVANT!

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VILLARREAL B:
Mariño;
Mano, Carlos Dervite, Kiko, Jaume Costa;
Hernán Pérez, Marcos Gullón, Castellani, Natxo Insa, Iago Falqué;
Gerard.

Nicki Bille does not start.

by Kenez on Mar 12, 2011 6:00 PM CET reply actions  

RE: MARCHENA

I agree w/Jackson comments during and after the game.

He was the big Difference between Recent liga matches and game vs Bayer
His experience and calm came through in defense and offense.
a) Ist goal was great pass to rossi
b) 3rd goal was a great pass to cazorla who then passed it to Nilmar

Since Senna Injury, been a missing a player who can make passes like that and help out the defense.

Hopfefully Garrido realizes that !

.

by Acqua on Mar 12, 2011 6:18 PM CET reply actions  

Diego Lopez
Mario – Gonzalo – Musacchio – Capdevila
Cazorla – Bruno – Cani/Borja
Nilmar – Ruben – Rossi

Your midfield is too light , unless you are chasing a game !

by Acqua on Mar 12, 2011 6:19 PM CET reply actions  

include: Levante (3); Depor (3); Málaga (2); Racing (2); Atlético (1). Just looking at those five matches (the Hércules match excluded since we snuck out with a point), that is eleven (11!) points that we absolutely should have picked up.

Villareal been so-so to crap on away games (san Espanyol game ) in liga , so for me points dropped are 5

Levante 1-0 loss = -3 pt
Depor -> 1-0 loss = 0 pt
Málaga 1-1 tie= 2 pt
Racing 2-2 tie = 0 pt
Atlético = 1-3 loss = 0 pt

= 5 points

This team doesn’t travel well in Liga

by Acqua on Mar 12, 2011 6:24 PM CET reply actions  

(28) Sporting- 3/13 – Must win = 3 pt
(29) @Athletic- 3/20 – Probably a Loss = 0
(30) Barcelona- 4/3 – Probably a loss = 0
(31) @Valencia- 4/10 – Probably a loss = 0
(32) Zaragoza- 4/17 – Must win = 3
(33) @Sevilla- 4/24 – Probably a loss = 0
(34) Getafe- 5/1 – Must Win = 3
(35) @Mallorca- 5/8 – Draw = 1
(36) @Almería- 5/11 – Draw = 1
(37) R. Madrid- 5/15 – Probably a loss = 0
(38) @Osasuna- 5/22 – Draw = 1

12 points more may not be enough

by Acqua on Mar 12, 2011 6:33 PM CET up reply actions  

May need to draw Sevilla or Valenica and win 1 more away game
 IMO Villarreal need at least 65 points to get # 4 CL spot

by Acqua on Mar 12, 2011 6:36 PM CET up reply actions  

actually if you look at the remaining schedule for the clubs below us, I think 9 or 10 points may be enough for fourth place—but I wouldn’t want to count on it.

If we defeat Sporting, Zaragoza, and Getafe, draw with Athletic, and win one of our last four matches, surely that would be enough.

We should be on 55-56 points by now given how we were doing through January, but I’d rather focus on the future.

by Allen on Mar 12, 2011 6:44 PM CET up reply actions  

We can’t effort to loose to the 3 teams over us. And I am sure that wont, Specially the match against real madrid. When We’ll meet ’em, la ligas 1 and 2 will properly have been decided… so real Madrid will only have their honour to play for, and maybe a cl-final with in 14 days, that will take their fokus… so I am actually pretty optimistic about there game….

by jens the dane on Mar 13, 2011 12:33 PM CET up reply actions  

What it comes down to is that the teams below have to win at least three maybe four games more than Villarreal manage to win in the remaining 11 matches.

by Kenez on Mar 12, 2011 8:16 PM CET up reply actions  

Half time: CELTA 0-0 VILLARREAL B

by Kenez on Mar 12, 2011 6:50 PM CET reply actions  

47 min 2nd yellow for Juame Costa see the B reduced to 10 men.

by Kenez on Mar 12, 2011 7:07 PM CET up reply actions  

49 min 0-1 Falqué

by Kenez on Mar 12, 2011 7:07 PM CET up reply actions  

49 Castellani replaced by Hector.

by Kenez on Mar 12, 2011 7:08 PM CET up reply actions  

60 min Nico replaces the injured Mano

by Kenez on Mar 12, 2011 7:20 PM CET up reply actions  

Luis Fabiano,
who is currently sidelined for around six weeks with a knee injury suffered in last weekend’s defeat to Athletic Bilbao, has agreed a four-year deal and will cost the Brazilian club €7.6 million.
http://soccernet.espn.go.com/news/story/_/id/892840/sevilla-striker-luis-fabiano-returns-to-brazil?cc=5901

by Acqua on Mar 12, 2011 7:21 PM CET reply actions  

Japan

I know there are Japanese Villarreal fans (due to twitter, etc)
so my prayers and thoughts go out to tem and their country men/women.

by Acqua on Mar 12, 2011 7:23 PM CET reply actions  

Wow, what a game for the B team. Down to 10 men, they defeat Celta on the road. Excellent!!!

by Allen on Mar 12, 2011 7:54 PM CET reply actions  

Result: CELTA 0-1 VILLARREAL B
 0-1 Iago Falqué (49’)
Ten men Villarreal keep out Celta for over forty minutes. In fact could have won by more than one goal as hit the crossbar twice.

by Kenez on Mar 12, 2011 7:57 PM CET reply actions  

Almería 2-2 Atlético
2 goals from Agüero not enough to overcome Almería.

by Kenez on Mar 12, 2011 8:10 PM CET reply actions  

Almeria 2 – 2 Atletico Madrid
-————————————————-

What I tell you guys last week

Acqua says:
03/05/2011 at 16:09
Only Villarreal can make AM loook good
sad:(

Imagine if Villarreal Won few more away games

by Acqua on Mar 12, 2011 8:30 PM CET up reply actions  

-> Zaragoza 4 – 0 Valencia

WILL Villarreal take adavantage ?

by Acqua on Mar 13, 2011 1:11 AM CET up reply actions  

Jozy Altidore started, played 71 mins for Bursaspor but they only drew 1-1 on the road against a team much lower in the table. No idea how he played but maybe someone will tell us.

Meanwhile, I can’t stress enough how proud we should be of the B team. Celta is promotion material and to defeat them in the way we did is terrific. According to the official site the team was planning to dedicate the victory to Truyols if they won, so they must be really happy to have done so. We are eighth in the table based on goal difference, though even with 5th on points. Celta meanwhile drop to third in the league.

by Allen on Mar 12, 2011 8:31 PM CET reply actions  

A battling performance from the B team against a Celta that would have gone top if they had won. On 88 minutes Celta did have a goal ruled offside that looked harsh. The B team created more chances with ten men than with eleven as Celta left gaps at the back pushing for a goal.

Having seen two of the leading teams, Celta and Rayo, in the past week I don’t see a great deal of difference between the teams in the top half. Villarreal B are as good as anyone in this Division.

by Kenez on Mar 12, 2011 8:46 PM CET up reply actions  

When Altidore got there, they were # 1 and in Auto CL spot, now they are # 3 in Europa Spot
From what I read Altidore hit the goal post, but the team on whole played s0-s0 and some Turkish fans were complaining Altidore isn’t showing heart …what ever taht means

by Acqua on Mar 13, 2011 1:19 AM CET up reply actions  

1st team squad:
Keepers: Diego López & Juan Carlos.
Defenders: Mario, Gonzalo, Musacchio, Catalá, Capdevila, Joan Oriol & Marchena.
Midfield: Borja Valero, Bruno, Matilla, Cani, Santi Cazorla & Wakaso.
Forwards: Marco Ruben, Nilmar & Rossi.

Cicinho omitted.

by Kenez on Mar 12, 2011 8:34 PM CET reply actions  

Who? He didn’t even get an “omitted through injury” mention this time!

by Allen on Mar 12, 2011 9:46 PM CET up reply actions  

Cicinho is on Vacy in Vil-real, Spain courtsey VCF and AS Roma

+

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WdQySeZsKew

by Acqua on Mar 12, 2011 11:54 PM CET up reply actions  

Not too important, but Oliva is injured.

by sidarth on Mar 13, 2011 4:28 AM CET up reply actions  

Confirmation from EPM about the supposed injury to Cicinho.
 “Garrido does not count on the footballer who arrived out of form and has dissolved like a lump of sugar.”

http://www.elperiodicomediterraneo.com/noticias/noticia.asp?pkid=643520

by Kenez on Mar 13, 2011 9:24 AM CET up reply actions  

Nice for the B team to have a player like Natxo Insa, who can go from central midfielder to right back in a pinch. Reminds me of Catalá’s worth to the A team.

by sidarth on Mar 13, 2011 4:29 AM CET reply actions  

Highlights from Vigo. Great finish by Iago.

by sidarth on Mar 13, 2011 6:14 AM CET reply actions  

No noto la diferencia con un equipo de A

by damipher on Mar 13, 2011 6:58 AM CET up reply actions  

I agree, to the extent that Iago is ready for the A team. Once the B team is safe for another season in Segunda A, I hope that Iago gets some playing time with the big club. In the long term, Iago and Jeffrey on the wings would be absolutely dynamic. First we have to sign him permanently, though.

But the B team lacks the requisite pegada to survive in the Primera. I don’t think they would be blown out by Madrid or Barca, but they would drop points consistently against the lower-table teams.

Also keep in mind that teams play diffently against our B side: points dropped are not going to another promotion candidate. So the games are a bit more open, and thus the goals flow.

by sidarth on Mar 13, 2011 7:03 AM CET up reply actions  

thanks, I got the message!

by damipher on Mar 13, 2011 7:18 AM CET up reply actions  

ZARAGOZA 4 -0 VALENCIA !!!

Emery “We were a disaster in all aspects.”

by Kenez on Mar 13, 2011 9:32 AM CET reply actions  

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